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Finance Management | "Credit Crisis Watch: A Look on Crisis Indicators"

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Credit Crisis Watch: A Look on Crisis Indicators

- by Amar Ranu *

Page - 1

The credit crisis which whirled out of Big Brother's state is not ready to calm down despite a series of fiscal and monetary measures taken by USA. The Uncle Sam interest rates have almost bottomed down and are currently hovering near Zero rate. The chain
reaction out of Lehman Brothers' collapse forced other nations to announce various stimulus packages in order to boost the economy. But then the billion-dollar question arises: Are we heading for a long time recession or would the world's financial system start functioning normally again?

For the world financial system to start functioning normally again, it is of the essence that confidence in the global catastrophe be refurbished. In order to weigh the progress being made to emancipate credit markets, there are a range of financial sector spreads and other measures to monitor. These tools would ascertain to what extent the various bank liquidity facilities and capital injections are having the desired effect.

First, it is the three month LIBOR Dollar Rate. The LIBOR dollar reached its apex of 4.8187% in the last one year on October 10, 2008 before settling at 1.4125% on the last day, witnessing a sharp decline. LIBOR trades at 116 basis points above the Fed's target rate of 0.25%, compared with 43 basis points at the start of this year.



Figure 1: LIBOR USD 3

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* Amar Ranu has done his B.E. (Electronics) from B. D. College of Engineering, Wardha, followed by MBA (Finance & Marketing) from Indian School of Mines University (ISMU), Dhanbad. Then came brief stints at Indian Institute of Banking & Finance as an Officer and at LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Co. Ltd. as Relationship Manager (Business Development / Analysis). He is currently a student of Indian Institute of Capital Markets, Navi Mumbai.
Article posted on February 8, 2009.




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